Sábado, 16 de Julho de 2011

DEZENVOLVIMENTU LA KORESPONDE BA OSAN 2 BILIAUN DOLLAR NEBE FAKAR ONA DURANTE TINAN 4 REZIM BANANA GUSMÃO!

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Problema laos dehan labele gasta osan ba dezenvolvimentu, problema mak osan gasta nee ba dunik dezenvolvimentu ka lae?

Tamba realidade agora nee hatudu katak fakar ona osan barak durante rezim Banana Gusmao ukun iha tinan 4 nia laran maibe KUALIDADE DEZENVOLVIMENTU KUAZE LA KORESPONDE BA OSAN 2 BILIAUN DOLLAR NEBE FAKAR ONA DURANTE TINAN 4 REZIM BANANA GUSMAO NIAN KAER UKUN!

REZIM AMP BANANA GUSMAO nian lori liafuan dezenvolvimentu ba nasaun hanesan deit pretextu ida ka kurtina ida atu hasai osan husi fundu petroleu liu valor sustentabilidade fundu nee rasik. Maibe osan fakar hela nunka hatudu dezenvolvimentu ho kualidade! Realidade mak nee fakar osan biliaun 2 resin ona iha rai laran em nome de dezenvolvimentu nebe 70 % halai sai hotu ba liur!

AMP nia politika ekonomia makro ba dezenvolvimentu maka hanesan hakarak atu ensi be balde ida ba kopu ida, to ikus nia rezultadu maka be nakonu ituan iha kopu laran maibe barak mak nakfakar no suli hotu ba fatin seluk. Hakarak hatete katak ita nia nasaun nia kapasidade ekonomia seidauk bele atu absorve osan biliaun ba biliaun entaun to'o ikus osan mai husi Amerika (fundu petroleu), pasiar iha banco central (BPA), transfere ba Ministeriu finansas para depois semo sai hotu fali ba Indonesia, China no sst. Ida restu husi osan hirak nee maka hela netik iha TL atu hariku deit naokten sira iha sirkulu naoksaun nian!

Depois kanta tun sae dehan kresimentu 2 digitus, kuitadu ba povo mak nee vitima hela deit ho kiak no mukit plus hetan kualidade eletrisidade AHI MORIS PISKA-piska no han fos importa husi liur nebe menus hela deit. AMP no Banana Gusmao ho sirkulu naoksaun sira ignora tiha subsidiu atu kria produsaun iha railaran rasik. IDA NEE MAK MODELU DEZENVOLVIMENTU A LA AMP NIAN!

AMP POLITIKUS BANANA no MAUFEHUK TANTANAN SIRA koalia dehan dezenvolvimentu gasta osan bar-barak atu lori nasaun ba oin, maibe exemplo kiik ida mak iha sektor agrikultura nebe simples deit. Tuir lolos situasaun emergensia hotu ona hapara ka hamenus ona importa fos husi rai liur no konsentra ona atu kria modelu dezenvolvimentu ba sektor agrikultura ho fokus prinsipal maka kria rede distribuisaun nebe evicaz, hasae kualidade no importante liu fo subsidiu ba ita nia agrikultur sira atu bele produz no sai produtivu.

Politika no estrategia ba agrikultura ida nebe signifika haforsa no fo insentiva ba ita nia agrikultur atu iha produtividade. Maibe ida nee la akontese. Hakarak maka nee importa fos husi liur maski fila ema sira husi liur naoktan sira hodi lori fos ba fan fali iha Indonesia. Signifika katak osan povo Timor Leste nian nebe AMP Banana sira uza sala hodi serve fali interesse povo rai seluk nia kabun.

Falhansu atu gere didiak osan povo nian nebe mai husi Fundu Petroleu sginifika sira ukun ho orsamentu bot tebes maibe kualidade dezenvolvimentu nebe mosu sei aat liu fali provinsia ka kabupaten ida iha Indonesia neba. To'o ikus mak nee lori povo nia naran no hatenu tun sae dehan impresta osan husi nasaun seluk no foti osan barak liu tan husi FP. Tinan-tina gere deit centenas milioes mos sira ulun tun ain sae agora hanoin hakarak gere biliaun ba biliaun tan. Entaun nasaun nee banana sira iha AMP hakarak lori ba sena tama iha kuak falhansu ida nebe no oinsa, ita sai bilan hotu.

Ita hotu hakarak atu nasaun hakat ba oin ho modelu dezenvolvimentu ida nebe sustentavel, katak uza rasik osan surplus nebe nasaun iha tuir kapasidade aktual ekonomia railaran. Maibe infelizmente, gorvenantes sira iha AMP kakutak nu lombo deit no moris hanesan parasitas iha organismu ida nia laran no laho iha natar laran.

Gosta mak naok hodi moris husi rikeza Estado nian ka publiku nian no la fo prioridade ba sektor prinsipal hanesan saude, edukasaun no agrikultura. Sira hanoin maka fakar osan deit sem iha valor ho kualidade nebe koresponde ba osan.

Modelu dezenvolvimentu AMP nian mak nee kareta foun bar-barak, hatama ema estrangeiru bar-barak mai railaran atu okupa hotu rainain sira nia servisu no negosiu kikoan sira, gasta osan bara-barak ba sosa material funu nian, gasta osan barak ba sosa fos toneladas ba toneladas hodi to'o ikus fahe tan ba ema Indonesia sira iha Atambua no Kalimantan enkuantu iha railaran povo TL rasik hakilar iha distritu hotu konaba falta fos no hamlaha no sst nebe halo ita atu muta deit!

Entaun hakarak hasai osan biliaun ba biliaun povo TL nian husi Fundu Petroleu nee atu halo tan saida? Nia resposta mak nee atu habokur no fo han deit ema seluk husi rai liur no hamout nafatin povo Timor Leste! Ho modelu dezenvolvimentu AMP nian nee ita husu fali, independencia nee atu serve ba se? Karik ba estrangeiru sira no sirkulu naoksaun iha AMP nia sistema governasaun mafiozu, maibe ba povo Timor Leste sem duvida LAE!

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BEM - VINDO À REPUBLICA DO BANANA GUSMÃO E DO SEU GRUPO DE 'NAOKSAUN'!
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6 comentários:

Anónimo disse...

YES!!!

Anónimo disse...

"Maibe osan fakar hela nunka hatudu dezenvolvimentu ho kualidade!

Afinal 'Aileba' rekonhese iha duni desenvolvimento maibe tuir nia problema mak laiha kualidade.

Entaun keta dehan osan fakar laiha rezultadu ida.

"Hakarak hatete katak ita nia nasaun nia kapasidade ekonomia seidauk bele atu absorve osan biliaun ba biliaun entaun to'o ikus osan mai husi Amerika (fundu petroleu), pasiar iha banco central (BPA), transfere ba Ministeriu finansas para depois semo sai hotu fali ba Indonesia, China no sst."

Halo nusa mak osan labele sai ba rai liur se 90% sasan nebe uza hela iha Timor rai laran TENKI mai husi rai liur?

Nusa 'Aileba' la hamutuk ho camaradas sira loke fabrika supermi, fabrika simentu, fabrika alkatraun, fabrika besi, fabrika kareta, fabrika motor, fabrika ropa, fabrika prosesamentu aihan, fabrika sapatu, fabrika kalen, fabrika pesa kareta, fabrika giz, fabrika surat tahan, fabrika sigarru, fabrika surat hamos kidun no sst tan nebe produz sasan Timoroan presiza ba moris loroloron?

Wainhira Timor produz ona buat hotu hotu nebe presiza (autosufisiente) foin mak osan barak lalika ba rai Indonsia, rai China no sst.

Agora lalika ezige governu mak tenki loke fabrika sira nee tanba nasaun komunista mak buat hotu hotu estadu nian.

Lae, governu tenke hadia kondisaun eletrisidade, estrada, edukasaun, saneamentu no sst para loke dalan ba setor privadu mak atu produs sasan nebe atu halo Timor autosufisiente.

Maibe atu hadia kondisaun sira nee 'Aileba' hakilar makas nee laos plano ida ba interese nasional.

'Aileba' nia patraun dehan enkuantu Timor nia rekursus humanus seidau diak lalika lae gasta osan ba buat sira nee. Ne hanesan dehan para buat hotu.

Lolos 'Aileba' inves gasta osan no tempu hakilar barak iha internet diak liu hambrik daudaun hakas an hodi loke fabrika sira nee para osan labele sai hotu ba liur.

Bele karik loke mos fabrika aviaun para ema tama sai ita nia rai sae deit aviaun marka Timor. Nee osan boot tan hela iha rai laran i osan barak mos sei tama wainhira 'Aileba' fan aviaun sira ne ba nasaun seluk.

Keta hein governu atu halo buat sira nee tanba iha nasaun ida democratico ho sistema merkadu livre nee laos servisu ka responsabilidade governu nian.

Governu somente tenki hadia infraestrutura no kondisaun ba buat sira nee bele buras.

Maibe governu atu gasta osan ba dezenvolvimentu nee mos 'Aileba' ho camaradas sira dehan nee fakar osan ba rai liur.

MERDA!(deskulpa haunia franses) Governu La halo dehan la halo, governu buka halo mos dehan ladiak.

Imi sira nee so kontenti wainhira imi sae fali ba poleiru. Sae fali ba poleiru mos la halo buat ida hanesan imi hatudu tiha ona lori tan nasaun ba crise boot.
Maibe enkuantu imi la kaer fali poder mak imi nia frustrasi halo imi lanu hodi hakilar buat hotu hotu ladiak.

'Aileba' aprezenta tok ita nia teoria makroekonomika ba ita hotu atu haree. Lalika husu patraun tanba patraun fo sai tiha ona nia versaun maibe la hun la dikin.

Anónimo disse...

Aileba o nee beik demais.

Hare fila fali saida mak GWh no saida mak GW antes o mai muta o nia beik iha nee.

O beik ona keta buka halo ema seluk sai beik hanesan o.

AILEBA disse...

Ó seu asu lasan, o le comentario nee para o komprende ne ka:


Se PEDN fala de 800GWh, quer dizer que TL até 2020 só vai ter capacidade de 91.32 MW para produzir electricidade?..

Usando esta formula para contar:

1 MW of electricical Power means different GWh in a year according to how long the power can be used through the year.

1 year = 8760 hours.

So at 100%, a power plant of 1 MW will produce 8760 MWh, ie 8,76 GWh

1 MW » 8760 Horas, 8,76 GWh (funcionamento de 100%)

Para saber capacidade de electricidade PEDN 2020 de Timor Leste:
MW = 800 GWh / 8760 horas
= 800000 MWh/8760
= 91.324201 MW ou seja 91.32 MW

Então o tal oleo pesado em Hera e o Betano não vão ultrapasar este tal 91.32 MW?..Será que não estamos a falar de conta mal feita?.. Ou o Xanana quer mesmo é ter 8 GW (1 GW= 1000MW » 8000 MW) até 2020?.. Gente temos que voltar a ler o PEDN...hahahhaha

Ou Alkatiri não percebe, ou Xanana quer mesmo o 8 GW em 2020. E aí Alkatiri tem razão 8 GW para TL seria demasiado tendo em conta a dimensão e demografia de Timor Leste.

(uma confusão total) :-D

Anónimo disse...

Calma, Aileba!:O)

Anónimo disse...

Aileba,

First of all start quoting your sources. Copying and pasting other people's work and passing it as your own is called plagiarism.

Second, use your explanation to give a lesson to your boss Alkatiri so that he does not confuse MW with MWh.

Now in regards to the great surprise and dismay shown by your boss about Timor expected to consume a yearly total of 8GWh as stated by the PEDN by 2020 (not 8GW power generation facilities as stated by your boss) consider the following:

1- According to the 4th Article Consultation from IMF, in 2010 only 36% of the Timorese population had access to electricity.
2- According to World Bank 90% of the population uses firewood for cooking.
3- Currently the Timorese consume a total of 160GWh of generated electricity yearly.

Now if by 2020 access to electricity extends to 100% of the population (as it should) and consume at the same rate as the current 36% with access to electricity, then the yearly consumption will jump to approx to 480GWh (give or take).

Since most households with access to electricity in Timor use it for little more than a couple of light bulbs for illumination, then a mere doubling of that will raise the total consumption to 960GWh.

If enough of those households aim for better living conditions, say, by adding a few more appliances to their power outlets such as a TV, radio to listen to 'radio maubere', maybe a fridge and an electric stove to save the trees, then we are Timor will be moving into the TWh consumption territory.

The total capacity of Hera-Betano power stations will be 240MW.

According to the formula you plagiarized from you know what source, these 240MW combined facilities can produce approx 2.1TWh a year.

Of course in estimating the total electricity consumption in Timor by 2020 as done previously, the development of new big and power hungry industries were not factored into the equation. For instance, the hospitality industry (hotels, motels, restaurants, etc), refrigeration industry, oil/gas processing industry, etc would easily increase the total amount of electricity consumed to quite a few TWh.

Another point you people seem to be missing about planning, something the ADB failed to consider also when they did the study in 2004.

When you plan for the future it is never clever to plan based on current consumption rates, specially in Timor where much as to be improved(not good enough to just have 2 light bulbs). i.e just because currently (or in 2004) most households used only 1 or 2 light bulbs, its not smart to plan just enough for the same usage, for the rest of the population, without considering that people actually tend to consume more as their living conditions improve.

If Timor should strive to achieve better living conditions overall for its people, then its only smart to plan ahead for more consumption rather than less or just enough.

Another thing to keep in mind (maybe you should explain that to your boss) is that a power plant doesn't necessarily need to operate at full capacity at all times. Power generation can be scaled down or up according to demand thus avoiding waist or shortages.

It is not like your boss says "what are we going to do with the rest we don't use?"
There is no need to be a lot of 'rest' and if there is it can actually be sold elsewhere.

Now run and explain this to your mob.