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LUTA HAMUTUK - Tuesday, December 14, 2010
Komesa iha OGE 2010 guverno muda ona metodolojia hodi konta Rendimento Sustentavel Estimado (RSE), mudansa ne’e hamosu padraun foun ba kalkulu presu minarai husi West Texas Intermediate (WTI) nian mak durante ne’e guverno uza, muda ba iha Information Energy Administration (IEA).
Mudansa ne’e muda ona presu minarai husi low case iha kalakulasaun anterior (WTI) ba iha intervallu entre low and reference case ne’ebe ho presu minarai US$68 per barril (IEA). Mudansa akontese mos ba iha rikeza minarai no gas Posu Bayu Undan ne’ebe husi US$16 bilhoes ba iha US$24.47 bilhoes, inklui aumentu husi Posu Kitan hamutuk US$4 milhoes.
Durante ne’e, Luta Hamutuk laiha informasaun husi governu sobre produsaun mina ne’ebe mak aumenta nune governu iha duni razaun forte hodi foti osan barak liu ho aproximasaun mudansa metodolojia kalkulasaun ne’ebe mak uluk dehan prudente liu ona husi WTI nian (low case oil price). Hodi hateten katak, bainhira uza IEA, iha mudansa ba iha taxa diskontu husi anterior 2.6% sae ba 4%. Ho mudansa hirak ne’e, governu liu husi proposta OGE 2011 hetan RSE 3% husi fundo petroliferu ho montante osan hamutuk US$734 milhoes.
Luta Hamutuk preokupa ho mudansa metodolojia ida ne’e, mak hanesan presu minarai no taxa diskontu. Mudansa ne’e bazeia ba input husi International Monetary Fund (IMF) no Ministeriu Finansas esplika katak kalkulasaun ne’e Sufficient Prudent.
Lei Fundo Petroliferu hateten katak, bainhira halo kalkulasaun tenke prudente. Signifika katak, kalkulasaun tenke bazeia ba international best practice no protesaun ba sustentabilidade fundo petroliferu. Preokupasaun seluk mak, iha tinan 2010 bainhira governu halo ona mudansa ba metodolojia no foti liu RSE, lori impaktu ba kalkulasaun RSE foun US$13 milhoes (livro 1 pajina 47).
Bainhira mudansa ne’e labele atinzi tuir estimativa presu, sei fo impaktu bo’ot liu tan ba RSE nomos rikeza petroleu iha futuru. Tanba-ne’e, Luta Hamutuk rekomenda hodi uza nafatin kalkulasaun metodolojia ne’ebe mak halo iha orsamento 2010 nian.
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LUTA HAMUTUK - Tuesday, December 14, 2010
Komesa iha OGE 2010 guverno muda ona metodolojia hodi konta Rendimento Sustentavel Estimado (RSE), mudansa ne’e hamosu padraun foun ba kalkulu presu minarai husi West Texas Intermediate (WTI) nian mak durante ne’e guverno uza, muda ba iha Information Energy Administration (IEA).
Mudansa ne’e muda ona presu minarai husi low case iha kalakulasaun anterior (WTI) ba iha intervallu entre low and reference case ne’ebe ho presu minarai US$68 per barril (IEA). Mudansa akontese mos ba iha rikeza minarai no gas Posu Bayu Undan ne’ebe husi US$16 bilhoes ba iha US$24.47 bilhoes, inklui aumentu husi Posu Kitan hamutuk US$4 milhoes.
Durante ne’e, Luta Hamutuk laiha informasaun husi governu sobre produsaun mina ne’ebe mak aumenta nune governu iha duni razaun forte hodi foti osan barak liu ho aproximasaun mudansa metodolojia kalkulasaun ne’ebe mak uluk dehan prudente liu ona husi WTI nian (low case oil price). Hodi hateten katak, bainhira uza IEA, iha mudansa ba iha taxa diskontu husi anterior 2.6% sae ba 4%. Ho mudansa hirak ne’e, governu liu husi proposta OGE 2011 hetan RSE 3% husi fundo petroliferu ho montante osan hamutuk US$734 milhoes.
Luta Hamutuk preokupa ho mudansa metodolojia ida ne’e, mak hanesan presu minarai no taxa diskontu. Mudansa ne’e bazeia ba input husi International Monetary Fund (IMF) no Ministeriu Finansas esplika katak kalkulasaun ne’e Sufficient Prudent.
Lei Fundo Petroliferu hateten katak, bainhira halo kalkulasaun tenke prudente. Signifika katak, kalkulasaun tenke bazeia ba international best practice no protesaun ba sustentabilidade fundo petroliferu. Preokupasaun seluk mak, iha tinan 2010 bainhira governu halo ona mudansa ba metodolojia no foti liu RSE, lori impaktu ba kalkulasaun RSE foun US$13 milhoes (livro 1 pajina 47).
Bainhira mudansa ne’e labele atinzi tuir estimativa presu, sei fo impaktu bo’ot liu tan ba RSE nomos rikeza petroleu iha futuru. Tanba-ne’e, Luta Hamutuk rekomenda hodi uza nafatin kalkulasaun metodolojia ne’ebe mak halo iha orsamento 2010 nian.
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1 comentários:
Previous Fretilin government led by Mari Alkatiri was shamefully overthrown in close conspiration with foreigners just for Timor Leste to be taken to this disastrous end of governance by the Alliance of electoral losers: AMP!
AMP, government of Xanana Gusmao and other donkey politicians such as Lasama and Jose Ramos Horta, is a complete disaster to timorese nation and its people. They are screwing up our nation by wasting so much money and precious time available which should have been allocated for a proper development needs of the timorese people and the nation.
The more this government is allowed to govern our country the worse everything will become. So many precious resources and time are seriously being wasted and so few timorese people are being benefited.
The dollar costs of a project such as Heavy Oil Project is heavily doubled to more than half a billion from its initial costs solely because of the complete incompetence of those CLOWNS in Xanana government. This government is a real synonym of waste, mismanagement, lies, incompetences, lack of transparency, bad governance, and all negative aspects imaginable from a modern type of government in a democratic country.
The timorese people are being fed with so many lies and cover up in the management of the country's development process. Artificial and false economic growth data and information as well as statistic is virtually fabricated to project wrong image of prosperity. The country is being led by the worst imaginable people in a coalition of losers, corrupt and incompetent of the so called timorese politicians. These ridiculous clowns in AMP are really fucking up our country.
Unless change comes as quick as possible from the other side of the alternative progressive opposition, then we are utterly screwed up as a nation and people.
May God save us otherwise it's not long before the petroleum fund is depleted by these corrupt stupid people in AMP; the obvious result of Xanana's madness dream for power.
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